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102/11/01 14:30 Prof. Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang(猶他州立大學)演講

演講公告
張貼人:網站管理員公告日期:2013-10-31
演 講 公 告
 
講題:Recent Development in Design of Engineering Materials and Structures
 

主講人:Prof. Shih-Yu (Simon) Wang
 
    Utah Climate Center, Department of Plants, Soils and Climate, Utah State University, USA

 
時間:11月01日(星期五)下午2點30分
 

地點:中央大學科學一館S-325教室
 

摘要:
 
  Using multiple observational and model datasets, the authors document a strengthening relationship between boreal winter sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) and the development of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the following year. The increased WNP–ENSO association emerged in the mid-twentieth century and has grown through the present, reaching correlation coefficients as high as ~0.70 in recent decades. Fully coupled climate experiments with the Community Earth System Model, version 1 (CESM1), replicate the WNP–ENSO association and indicate that greenhouse gases (GHGs) are largely responsible for this observed increase. The authors speculate that shifts in the location of the largest positive SST trends between the subtropical and tropical western Pacific impact the low-level circulation in a manner that reinforces the link between the WNP and the development of ENSO. A strengthened GHG-driven relationship with the WNP provides an example of how anthropogenic climate change may directly influence one of the most prominent patterns of natural climate variability, ENSO, and potentially improve the skill of intraseasonal-to-interannual climate prediction.

 
最後修改時間:2013-10-31 PM 2:35

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