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106/09/19 14:00 中央大學水文與海洋科學研究所黃士銘博士 演講

演講公告
張貼人:網站管理員公告日期:2017-09-15
 
演 講 公 告
 

講題:Effects of deforestation of the Maritime Continent on the South Asian summer monsoon

 

主講人:黃士銘 博士
 
    中央大學水文與海洋科學研究所

 
時間:09月19日(星期二)下午2點
 

地點:中央大學科學一館S-325教室
 

摘要:
 
  Globally, over 15 billion forest trees, approximately 0.5% of the total, are cut down each year, and the global number has fallen by approximately 46% since the start of human civilization. The rates of forest loss in the Maritime Continent: Sumatra, the Malay Peninsula and Borneo in particular, are the highest. How may this expansive scale of accelerated deforestation alter the atmospheric wind and rainfall that penetrate beyond the local climate? Here we analyze observations and conduct ensemble model simulations to show that the recent decades of accelerated deforestation can force (i) a localized ascent of moist warm air over the northern Sumatra and the Malay Peninsula, (ii) descent of drier and cooler air over the Bay of Bengal and (iii) cyclonic wind over the western tropical Pacific and eastern Indian Ocean, thus weakening the south Asian summer monsoon. We project a significant, over 50% weakening of the south Asian summer monsoon should deforestation and urbanization continue unchecked in the next several decades – potentially threatening and/or fundamentally altering the livelihood of billions in a region of the world of increasing geopolitical importance.
 
最後修改時間:2017-09-15 AM 9:59

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