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105/05/03 14:00 中央研究院環境變遷研究中心林傳堯研究員 演講

演講公告
張貼人:網站管理員公告日期:2016-04-26
 
演 講 公 告
 

講題:An improved urban canopy model and its application on future climate study over Taiwan

 

主講人:林傳堯 研究員
 
    中央研究院環境變遷研究中心

 
時間:05月03日(星期二)下午2點
 

地點:中央大學科學一館S-325教室
 

摘要:
 
  This study evaluated the impact of urbanization over northern Taiwan using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model coupled with the Noah land-surface model and a modified Urban Canopy Model (WRF-UCM2D). In the original UCM coupled in WRF (WRF-UCM), when the land use in the model grid net is identified as “urban”, the urban fraction value is fixed. Similarly, the UCM assumes the distribution of anthropogenic heat (AH) to be constant. Such not only may lead to over- or underestimation, the temperature difference between urban and non-urban areas has also been neglected. To overcome the above-mentioned limitations and to improve the performance of the original UCM model, WRF-UCM is modified to consider the 2-D urban fraction and AH (WRF-UCM2D).
  The two models were found to have comparable simulation performance for urban areas but large differences in simulated results were observed for non-urban, especially at nighttime. WRF-UCM2D yielded a higher R2 than WRF-UCM (0.72 vs. 0.48, respectively), while bias and RMSE achieved by WRF-UCM2D were both significantly smaller than those attained by WRF-UCM (0.27 and 1.27 vs. 1.12 and 1.89, respectively). In other words, the improved model not only enhanced correlation but also reduced bias and RMSE for the nighttime data of non-urban areas. WRF-UCM2D performed much better than WRF-UCM at non-urban stations with low urban fraction during nighttime. The improved simulation performance of WRF-UCM2D at non-urban area is attributed to the energy exchange which enables efficient turbulence mixing at low urban fraction.
  In this study, we have also performed dynamic downscaling of Taiwan’s future climate by using this WRF-UCM2D model. The simulations are forced by the Max Plank Institute Hamburg, global model, ECHAM5/MPIOM and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) -High-Resolution Atmospheric Model (HiRAM). The achievement of this study has a crucial implication for assessing the impacts of urbanization on air quality and regional climate.

 
最後修改時間:2016-04-28 AM 8:53

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